Lucky Soldier
Will, the reason that Japan was never a large enough threat was their size. The Japanese do not have the people. They did not possess the power projection--people wise--to engage the US and harm us on our own turf. Also the the United States military had considerably more teeth back in the day and people that were actually willing to use all the teeth. Today we are much weaker physically and non-corporeally.
I am not talking about WWII either. I am simply saying that the Japanese were not a threat militarily (in the 70's-80's). They lack the human resources to pull off another WWII. They abort more people than they produce and they have entirely too many old people to fight a real war. China is different. China does not owe anyone anything. Whereas they own our debt. They finance our debt. If they dumped all of our TBills our econ would be down the drain tomorrow. The Chinese Econ has been going since the 70's and there is not sign it is going anywhere, but up.
"I'd agree with you if the US was trying to invade main land China. But we aren't. The Chinese navy is a joke, as is their air force. And to address the argument of them having so many people, thats great, but they dont have the money nor the equipment to enlist them all into a formidable fighting force. Expect them to do what the Russian's did in WWII, one guy gets a gun the other gets a clip and go run at the enemy. The only people that have equipment/technology that can rival ours is the brits, and they don't sell stuff to China. The French on the other hand, bless their soul, sell everything short of their sister's virginity to them. But luckily the french lack a certain...how do you say...lack a decent military history..."
That is the same argument used about the Japanese before WWII. We thought we were superior to them, we were not. It took simple numbers to defeat the Japanese. If we had not had a limitless supply of munitions we would not have defeated the Japanese. They were vastly superior strategists. The Russians did a pretty good job if you ask me. They won WWII. .75 of all Germans were killed by Russians. Not bad for a bunch of ignorant farmers. Technology matters little, as long as you have the basics. The North Vietnamese technology was certainly not on par with ours, however they united the whole country, their objective.
The comment that the Chinese Navy and Air Force is a joke is a joke. The Chinese possess SU30's and 27's. The 27 outranges, out maneuvers our F15's and SU27's possesses Alamo missiles that outrange the slammer. As the Chinese economy keeps expanding the Chinese pilots will receive vast increases in their yearly hours, and they will become very proficient. Not only that but China is developing their own 4.5 generation fighters that will be as good as an F16. The Chinese Navy recently unveiled an Aegis class vessel complete with all the goodies US aegis uses (they simply stole the tech from us). The Chinese are also developing stealthy cruise missiles for their Navy. Combining the new missiles ships with SU27's (SU27 has an unrefueled range of 1000 miles). The Chinese can nullify our carriers if they use Chicanery, as an Eastern foe typically does.
The Chinese possess plenty of money to place into arms proctoring. The Chinese officially has the 3rd largest defense budget, however the US government has been viewing that number as of recently as vastly deflated. The Chinese are doing what the Meiji Japanese did in the 1890's. "Rich country strong arms." If you as a worker could make 100 bucks ten years ago and the economy improves to the point that you could make 150, you still make a hundred. The rest is skimmed off for arms procurment. Everyone thought the Japanese a joke until 1905 (even though the Russians would have won if the war had continued). Underestimating a foe is dangerous and our hubris will bite us in the *** if we are not careful.
If you do not think it can happen in the modern world simply take a look at what happened at Grozny to Russian armored/infantry units using massive ammounts of firepower and very Western tactics. We are vastly underestimating a threat that will surprise us a lot more than 9/11 ever did.
The Best V8 Stories One Small Block at Time

