SO much for the oilfield!!!
I learned that being poor sucked and the oil business is brutal. I remember back during that time seeing bumper stickers that read- "Please God let there be one more oil boom". And thankfully there has been some industry growth but I would have to agree with OSCS somewhat. Anyone in that industry should know that the bottom can fall out at anytime. So why not have yourself protected financially and not put yourself in such a psoition like my father...
The oil business has always gone way up then way down- thats the business.
I learned that being poor sucked and the oil business is brutal. I remember back during that time seeing bumper stickers that read- "Please God let there be one more oil boom". And thankfully there has been some industry growth but I would have to agree with OSCS somewhat. Anyone in that industry should know that the bottom can fall out at anytime. So why not have yourself protected financially and not put yourself in such a psoition like my father...
The oil business has always gone way up then way down- thats the business.
All my other **** is paid for so it's not going anywhere anytime soon. I do have one C3 Corvette I'm going to unload soon, but I bought it for investment reasons only and planned to sell it anyway (job or no job) once I got through fixing it up. I should churn out a nice little profit on it....my first "Gas Monkey" project.
1000 sq ft house now rents for $500
https://nd.craigslist.org/apa/5396412763.html
That town is about to experience a real oil bust...
Last edited by twinturbo496; Jan 22, 2016 at 06:51 AM.
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You'd be making around $150k/year (on a 5-day work week) to live off of and saving around $100k/year at the same time. After taxes, that's still very good money.
It amazes me how some of the folks I know of just pissed away every single cent they earned with those high-paying Eagle Ford Shale jobs.
Hopefully, prices will rebound some over the next several months and ease everyone's pain who has been affected. I'd rather spend an extra $50/week on gasoline than be out of a job.
Last edited by -Ross-; Jan 26, 2016 at 11:29 AM.
Now that it is 1.5ish gallon and I'm filling my cars with 1.87 93 octane, 350million people are saving.
It does suck, but you are a fool not to know the **** is a ocean wave. Up and down.
That being said, fracing was a huge shift in the oilfield. I personally see that all the time and energy spent in subsea has peaked because even if oil comes back to say $60/barrel, that isn't the $80-$85 needed for deepwater, etc... and I think it is a stretch to assume that the demand for oil will peak enough to need those resources in the near term. My assumption on this is based on current economic conditions and demand, (and short of a war in the middle east I don't see anything to change it).
I spoke to someone the other day about Eagle-Ford, and that currently there are something like 8000 capped wells that could be opened up for production. The production figures I saw for the field was only a small fraction of the field in actual production.
So, the magic question is if the price of oil is going to come back? The answer is yes it will as everything is cyclical But the more relevant question is when. Just looking at the overall markets my guess is not in the near term with the only exception being a war to drive up prices based on shortages or perceived shortages like the first Gulf War.
Everyone blames the Chinese, the Chinese are dropping production and their economy is suffering because its customers (the U.S. and Europe) aren't buying their "stuff". If you look at the commodities markets everything is down across the board right now (copper, corn, scrap steel, etc...). If you look at prices from recent peaks the current drop is worse than the level seen in 1929. A very good friend of mine in simple terms said these are the worst charts he's ever seen since he started in the markets almost 50 years ago.
The market seems to be moving into a strong deflationary direction right now. If you don't understand why deflation is bad, I suggest you read up on it.
To anyone who is out of a job, I would suggest you take whatever you can find at the point even if you consider it below "what you are worth". Bringing in anything, is money you aren't having to take out of savings, or forcing you to borrow money you can't pay back.
If you want to better understand the global markets look at site like Zerohedge and read Tyler Durden's postings. And read some of the material by John Hussman or John Mauldin.
Last edited by J-Rod; Jan 27, 2016 at 09:15 AM.
Now that it is 1.5ish gallon and I'm filling my cars with 1.87 93 octane, 350million people are saving.
It does suck, but you are a fool not to know the **** is a ocean wave. Up and down.
For reduced n slashed prices.
He's at the point at where he will not lose his job as easily. Sez he's seen the UPS n downs in the industry n learned along time how to manage his finances for the hard times. But sez most of the younger peeps are usually the ones the most when laid off if they don't got there finance n priorities in order.
In the middle of the financial crisis of 2007–2008, the price of oil underwent a significant decrease after the record peak of US$145 it reached in July 2008.
On December 23, 2008, WTI crude oil spot price fell to US$30.28 a barrel, the lowest since the financial crisis of 2007–2010 began.
The price sharply rebounded after the crisis and rose to US$82 a barrel in 2009.
On 31 January 2011, the Brent price hit $100 a barrel for the first time since October 2008, on concerns about the political unrest in Egypt.
For about three and half years the price largely remained in the $90–$120 range. In the middle of 2014, price started declining due to a significant increase in oil production in USA, and declining demand in the emerging countries.
By January 2015 the price of benchmark crude oil, both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) reached below $50, with vanishing spread.
A record dip below $44 for WTI (with Brent near $54) was reached at mid March 2015.
The WTI price increased in the $60 (WTI) and $65 (Brent) region in the following months.
Oil prices decreased to a six-year low to $36 on December 11, 2015. Some analysts speculate that it may continue to drop further, perhaps as low as $18
When oil was $145/bbl, then drilling offshore for $80-85/bbl made all the sense in the world, and we went deeper and deeper to find new production. Fracking was the "new" disruptive technology. Those prices made it affordable to go experiment with fracking, and you see the boom it generated.
When you have a boom like that, people want a piece of it. To attract talent, you have to pay good money to get every warm body you can out there to work. Its all simply supply and demand. Demand drove exploration and new technology, those fields needed people, and that demand for people drove wages. Its economics 101. Taxes on fuel and the other reasons you cite are factors, but not the significant market drivers
So, I agree that your pay may not have changed as prices have changed, but they need a lot fewer "warm bodies" out there as the economics of producing shale at $40-$45/bbl don't make sense when prices are $30/bbl.
The oil boom here is no different that the mining boom in Western Australia as an example. All the need for steel and copper in China drove Australia to open up huge mines, and in Western Australia every able bodied man picked up and went to work in the mining industry, and everyone was making good money doing so. That bubble has burst. Unemployment was around 1%, now its at a 13 year high around 6-7%. Those people still left in the mining industry are still getting paid the same, there are just a lot fewer of them.









